Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.072209 0.085216 0.099769 0.117242 0.137633 0.160663 0.188632
2025-05-25 0.050261 0.066464 0.086618 0.113457 0.148189 0.191542 0.249689
2025-06-01 0.038902 0.056214 0.079591 0.113311 0.160534 0.224124 0.316041
2025-06-08 0.031040 0.048308 0.073276 0.111754 0.169260 0.251659 0.378248
2025-06-15 0.026507 0.043984 0.070786 0.114502 0.183561 0.287864 0.456569
2025-06-22 0.022201 0.039057 0.066327 0.113149 0.190905 0.314025 0.522549
2025-06-29 0.018566 0.034480 0.061533 0.110234 0.194903 0.334884 0.582117
2025-07-06 0.015562 0.030411 0.056852 0.106601 0.196858 0.352170 0.637320
2025-07-13 0.013962 0.028583 0.055742 0.108932 0.209229 0.388158 0.728320
2025-07-20 0.012410 0.026565 0.053938 0.109636 0.218580 0.419686 0.814798
2025-07-27 0.011109 0.024811 0.052347 0.110445 0.228087 0.452361 0.906844
2025-08-03 0.010075 0.023432 0.051271 0.112064 0.239264 0.489232 1.010758
2025-08-10 0.009333 0.022590 0.051233 0.115928 0.255702 0.538646 1.145966
2025-08-17 0.008058 0.020333 0.047860 0.112251 0.256054 0.556188 1.219483
2025-08-24 0.007226 0.018962 0.046223 0.112120 0.263925 0.589929 1.330264
2025-08-31 0.006410 0.017484 0.044111 0.110581 0.268423 0.616955 1.429686
2025-09-07 0.005954 0.016834 0.043843 0.113303 0.282921 0.667163 1.585203
2025-09-14 0.005325 0.015616 0.042009 0.111964 0.287693 0.696201 1.696420
2025-09-21 0.004698 0.014289 0.039693 0.109078 0.288329 0.715794 1.788023
2025-09-28 0.004118 0.012988 0.037243 0.105481 0.286701 0.729836 1.868022
2025-10-05 0.003852 0.012551 0.037039 0.107789 0.300393 0.782074 2.045770
2025-10-12 0.003549 0.011947 0.036282 0.108486 0.309963 0.825226 2.205786
2025-10-19 0.003279 0.011398 0.035597 0.109286 0.319911 0.870395 2.375758